(Part II) – The Science Behind the Hype – But Still Dangerous Scenario


http://earthchangesmedia.com/part-ii-the-science-behind-the-hype-but-still-dangerous-scenario
An easy to understand fundamental climate sensitivity model is designed to empower those of us who are not schooled in geo_ or climate sciences. The fact that most, if not all, generated models is riddled with unfamiliar words, phrases, and well….riddles, should be and now is, brought to q…

An easy to understand fundamental climate sensitivity model is designed to empower those of us who are not schooled in geo_ or climate sciences. The fact that most, if not all, generated models is riddled with unfamiliar words, phrases, and well….riddles, should be and now is, brought to question.

hearts&minds_m

Who “invented” the term ‘global warming’ might be one of the first questions. Perhaps a good second question is ….what is it based on. And the best question of all should be “can you prove it”? This  is where politics-meets-the-road and science is shoved aside.

You might recognize the following statement. “If you can’t convince them…confuse them” (Harry S Truman). This statement alone captures the basic foundation of a wartime strategy outlining “Win the Hearts & Minds” of the enemy populous. In the case of global warming it would be winning over the ‘less-informed’ – hence using computer generated models filled with speculative projections at best – or intentionally manipulated deceptive formulas at worst.

IPCC vs Actual Observed_m

In 1990, the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) expressed “substantial confidence” that near-term global warming would occur twice as fast as subsequent observation. However, when you look at the tangible facts of “observed” verses “computer generated” projections – we find the current warming trend occurred twice as ‘slow’ as projected by the IPCC.

Given rising CO2 concentration, few models predicted no warming since 2001. Between the pre-final and published drafts of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, the report cut its near-term warming projection substantially. Their model indicates the reduction of transient climate sensitivity from 1.9 to 1.5 W m−2 K−1 would endorse a reduction from 3.2 to 2.2 K in its central climate-sensitivity estimate. This would suggest there is no unrealized current warming trend indicating <1 K this century – and that combustion of all recoverable fossil fuels will cause <2.2 K global warming to equilibrium.

ipcc vs observed3_m

Resolving the discrepancies between the IPCC’s Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports are crucial in displaying overt (some would say covert) implications of desired outcomes. Once those discrepancies are taken into account, the impact of anthropogenic global warming over the next century and beyond, would reveal less than one-third to one-half of IPCC’s current projections.

The Earth’s greenhouse effect does not require complex computer models in order to calculate useful numbers for debating the issue. However, let us not forget; “if you can’t convince them…confuse them.” Placating the use of estimated conjecture by touting the use of highly complicated computer calculation, further claiming the algorithmic accuracy of the computer as should go without question should raise a very visible red flag.

ipcc vs observed_m

For those of you who have been playing with computers beginning sometime in the early 90s might remember the acronym GIGO (Garbage In – Garbage Out). Simply put, you can write script for any desired outcome you wish. Yet this is the guideline of which all is to be measured. Heaven forbid if one is to question such methods. “The science is in, there is no debate. You are either with me – or you are”….a dirt-bag uneducated polluting sinner. Okay, the words following “or you are” belongs to me, but the rest belongs to Al Gore (not an evil man, just wrong). But you can see how such a statement underscores the technique of “winning the hearts & minds”.

Related posts:

Advertisements

About Earth Changes Media w/ Mitch Battros

Mitch Battros is a scientific journalist who is highly respected in both the scientific and spiritual communities due to his unique ability to bridge the gap between modern science and ancient text. Founded in 1995 – Earth Changes TV was born with Battros as its creator and chief editor for his syndicated television show. In 2003, he switched to a weekly radio show as Earth Changes Media. ECM quickly found its way in becoming a top source for news and discoveries in the scientific fields of astrophysics, space weather, earth science, and ancient text. Seeing the need to venture beyond the Sun-Earth connection, in 2016 Battros advanced his studies which incorporates our galaxy Milky Way - and its seemingly rhythmic cycles directly connected to our Solar System, Sun, and Earth driven by the source of charged particles such as galactic cosmic rays, gamma rays, and solar rays. Now, "Science Of Cycles" is the vehicle which brings the latest cutting-edge discoveries confirming his published Equation.
This entry was posted in extreme weather. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s