Tropical Storm Phanfone Nears Guam; Typhoon Threat For Japan?


http://earthchangesmedia.com/tropical-storm-phanfone-nears-guam-typhoon-threat-for-japan
Tropical Storm Phanfone, formed this past weekend in the western Pacific Ocean, and is slowly gathering strength north-northeast of Guam. Phanfone could eventually pose a threat as a strong typhoon next week. Let’s break down what we know now.
First up for Phanfone are the Mariana…

Tropical Storm Phanfone, formed this past weekend in the western Pacific Ocean, and is slowly gathering strength north-northeast of Guam. Phanfone could eventually pose a threat as a strong typhoon next week. Let’s break down what we know now.

First up for Phanfone are the Mariana Islands.

While the center of Phanfone will track well north of Guam, a tropical storm warning and a typhoon watch are posted for the northern Mariana Islands including Saipan, Tinian, Pagan, Alamagan and the surrounding waters.

Phanfone’s center will pass over the northern Mariana Islands overnight Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, local time. Guam is 14 hours ahead of U.S. Eastern daylight time.

Wind gusts to 50 mph may damage poorly-built structures and exposed coastal shorelines may see about 1 foot of coastal inundation in the northern Marianas. Up to 8 inches of rainfall may trigger local rainfall flooding, as well.

Phanfone is now expected to become a typhoon — the western Pacific Ocean’s equivalent of a hurricane — after clearing the Marianas and moving on to the west-northwest.

Japan Typhoon Threat?

A favorable environment of low wind shear and high sea-surface temperatures is anticipated as Phanfone continues to move to the west-northwest this week.

This should allow it to strengthen into a powerful typhoon later this week. A cycle of rapid intensification could occur, given the favorable environmental conditions. As a result, the U.S. military’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts Phanfone to become the equivalent of a Category 3 tropical cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale later this week.

With the potential for Phanfone to become a very powerful tropical cyclone, the forecast track becomes critical.

Official forecasts from JTWC, as well as the Japan Meteorological Agency, show Phanfone gently curving northwestward and northward late this week. This would take it past Iwo Jima and into a region of ocean west of Japan’s Izu Islands and east of Japan’s Ryukyu Islands, the two main north-south chains of small islands south of the Japanese mainland.

However, there are some key questions and uncertainties about Phanfone’s track.

An east-west bubble of high pressure sitting to the north of Phanfone will keep the cyclone on its westward to west-northwestward course over the next few days. Eventually, however, Phanfone may reach a weak spot in that bubble — and tropical cyclones are often drawn northward in those situations before eventually being forced northeastward by the prevailing westerlies, usually becoming post-tropical systems in the process.

However, if this bubble of high pressure stays relatively strong and the weak spot doesn’t materialize, Phanfone may not curve north and northeast as quickly. The major computer forecast models are not in good agreement on this issue, which becomes a critical question roughly 4 to 6 days from now.

As a result, there are several plausible scenarios, including these:

– Phanfone curves sharply, passing south and east of mainland Japan and brushing the country with high waves and possibly a little bit of rain.

– Phanfone curves north a bit later, too late to miss Japan, and instead slams into the heavily populated Japanese mainland, anywhere from Tokyo in the east westward to Nagoya, Osaka, or Kobe in central Japan, or even Fukuoka in the west.

– Phanfone waits much longer to recurve, taking it more toward Okinawa.

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About Earth Changes Media w/ Mitch Battros

Mitch Battros is a scientific journalist who is highly respected in both the scientific and spiritual communities due to his unique ability to bridge the gap between modern science and ancient text. Founded in 1995 – Earth Changes TV was born with Battros as its creator and chief editor for his syndicated television show. In 2003, he switched to a weekly radio show as Earth Changes Media. ECM quickly found its way in becoming a top source for news and discoveries in the scientific fields of astrophysics, space weather, earth science, and ancient text. Seeing the need to venture beyond the Sun-Earth connection, in 2016 Battros advanced his studies which incorporates our galaxy Milky Way - and its seemingly rhythmic cycles directly connected to our Solar System, Sun, and Earth driven by the source of charged particles such as galactic cosmic rays, gamma rays, and solar rays. Now, "Science Of Cycles" is the vehicle which brings the latest cutting-edge discoveries confirming his published Equation.
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